Saturday, March 27, 2010
Where does this forex starts?
It's not owned by anyone in particular. Forex is an Interbank market, meaning that its transactions are conducted only between two participants - seller and the buyer. So as long as the current banking system will exist, Forex will be here. It's not connected to any specific country or government organization.
How to start forex?
You'll need to register a trading account with a Forex broker, such as Marketiva. Then you can begin using their Forex client program to buy and sell currencies. This will take less than 5 minutes of your time!
What does Margin means?
Margin is money you need to have in your broker account to secure your open position. Different brokers require different amount of margin money to keep your positions open.
Wednesday, December 9, 2009
Now do Forex Business sitting at your house.
The more you understand about any subject, the more interesting it becomes. As you read this article you’ll find that the subject of forex home business is certainly no exception.
When running a forex home business, a person quickly gains knowledge of how the business world works. Whether it be selling crafts, doing a home delivery business, or selling real-estate, after investing a lot of time and effort into a home or small business, a person quickly becomes aware of the few basic business truths that govern business.
One of those truths is that you have to have time and money to start a small business or any business for that matter. More often than not, the people that have the time dont have the money to invest in a home-based business and the people that have the money dont have the time. With Forex home business, it is quite possible to generate an income with a small time investment per day, after studying FOREX for a few months, and a very small investment as little as $50 in some cases.
The second truth, and these are probably quite obvious to most people, is that in order to make money a business has to have some sort of product to sell or perform some type of service. In the FOREX world, nothing is being sold and no service is being performed, but rather money is being exchanged. You are making a profit based on the actual exchange value of one currency against another currency. This eliminates the need for employees, such as customer service personnel and human resource people if your company were to become that big.
Is everything making sense so far? If not, I’m sure that with just a little more reading, all the facts will fall into place.
Also, because of the huge size of the FOREX market, trading nearly $1.5 trillion dollars a day, such things as social events, bad publicity, and changes in political climate will have no effect on your business. In fact, after studying FOREX, you will be able to see how these things will actually benefit your FOREX home business.
The third and last classical business truth is that most people are prevented from starting a home-based business because they dont feel good enough about themselves. They dont feel like theyre educated enough. I read stories all of the time about people that feel passionate about something or they just pick something that they are relatively good at or have done before and start a business. They just take a chance. If you want to do it, step out. Take that first step. Dont drop any huge sums of money, of course, but do a little research, make a small investment and start your adventure down to the road to FOREX trading.
Tuesday, July 28, 2009
Best forex trading views
The 6 Best Forex Trading Systems are about to be released. Over 1,300 traders this time... New 6 Best Forex Trading Systems. As many of you know the one thing I recommend above anything else out there is access to the Surefire Trading Challenge club. It's the only real place for traders. Once you are in you will understand what I mean. The first thing you will want to get your hands on are the 6 best forex trading systems of the forex champions. That's what I did. These are just great. There are so many resources and tools inside that it's hard to think of anything else a trader would need. I want you to go along and watch this video. It will only take a couple of minutes and you will get a feel for what I'm talking about.
Let's get forex trading. 3 months ago, almost 600 Forex traders competed for one of the top 6 positions in the SureFire Trading Challenge...They all wanted to prove they had the best Forex system... the top 6 proved that they did! They proved that they could achieve results like 2,307% in just 30 days! The SureForex Trading Challenge organizers released those 6 top performing systems to the public for a short time and then closed the doors. Well... LISTEN UP! Over the past month, more than 1,300 traders from all over the globe (compared to 586 traders in the last competition) battled for the new first 6 places! Thats right - the SureFire Trading Challenge organizers sponsored a new competition and more than DOUBLE the previous number of traders joined it. You can see what I mean here:
I always knew that the true way to find the best Forex trading system was to let people prove it... unfortunately, no-one really took it upon themselves to organize such a competition. Things have changed, and not just that, they're getting better! In the first competition, the top traders shocked the world with their performance.In this new round, "shock" will be an underrated word (you just wait and see!)...
Average "Joes" Show Professional FX Traders What Trading's About!
You know the story... we all know it: The perception in the Forex industry is that you have to be a top-dog, experienced trader in order to nail exceptional performance results. But is that really the case? I think that by now we all know the honest answer. In the last SureFire Trading Challenge we saw people from all walks of life.. non-professional traders... in fact, PART TIME traders, outperformed the world's professional traders:
30 days trading (results verified): 2,307%...
30 days trading (results verified): 1,120%...
30 days trading (results verified): 1,014%...
Conclusion: you don't have to be a professional forex trader to quadruple your deposit on a monthly basis... you simply need the right systems! Take a look here to see what the competitors of the second round of the SureFire Trading Challenge have accomplished: Would you like to know why some traders seem to make more money than they could possible spend and others can't pay their rent? The ones who are making it big know stuff! They know thing most traders don't even know exist.
These secrets are passed down from one trader to the next. Normally it's through some kind of close personal relationship. There is however a small minority of people privileged and lucky enough to be part of a unique group of traders. And now you can too...This group of traders belong to the most respected, but also "THE" most profitable resource on earth for discovering extremely profitable ways to trade. Week after week, month after month, year after year this group of traders have been working to perfect their trading.
These Traders Have One Big Advantage
These traders all improved their trading by following the advice of other traders... no more and no less! This is how they did it:
Step 1 - They got access to some of the best trading systems that have ever been released.
Step 2 - They simply copied these systems.
Step 3 - They asked for advice and guidance from traders who were already using these systems.
Read this:
I'm in tears while writing this heart-felt thanks
for having such a wonderful site! Everything I had
imagined and dreamed of to come across so as to widen
my knowledge in Forex was a dream come true after I
became a member.
You are Great!! No one is better than you guys. Your
analytic work on your videos and trading systems are
second to none. I now believe I can fly! Thanks a
million!
Best Regards, Andy
Houston, Texas.
Let's get forex trading. 3 months ago, almost 600 Forex traders competed for one of the top 6 positions in the SureFire Trading Challenge...They all wanted to prove they had the best Forex system... the top 6 proved that they did! They proved that they could achieve results like 2,307% in just 30 days! The SureForex Trading Challenge organizers released those 6 top performing systems to the public for a short time and then closed the doors. Well... LISTEN UP! Over the past month, more than 1,300 traders from all over the globe (compared to 586 traders in the last competition) battled for the new first 6 places! Thats right - the SureFire Trading Challenge organizers sponsored a new competition and more than DOUBLE the previous number of traders joined it. You can see what I mean here:
I always knew that the true way to find the best Forex trading system was to let people prove it... unfortunately, no-one really took it upon themselves to organize such a competition. Things have changed, and not just that, they're getting better! In the first competition, the top traders shocked the world with their performance.In this new round, "shock" will be an underrated word (you just wait and see!)...
Average "Joes" Show Professional FX Traders What Trading's About!
You know the story... we all know it: The perception in the Forex industry is that you have to be a top-dog, experienced trader in order to nail exceptional performance results. But is that really the case? I think that by now we all know the honest answer. In the last SureFire Trading Challenge we saw people from all walks of life.. non-professional traders... in fact, PART TIME traders, outperformed the world's professional traders:
30 days trading (results verified): 2,307%...
30 days trading (results verified): 1,120%...
30 days trading (results verified): 1,014%...
Conclusion: you don't have to be a professional forex trader to quadruple your deposit on a monthly basis... you simply need the right systems! Take a look here to see what the competitors of the second round of the SureFire Trading Challenge have accomplished: Would you like to know why some traders seem to make more money than they could possible spend and others can't pay their rent? The ones who are making it big know stuff! They know thing most traders don't even know exist.
These secrets are passed down from one trader to the next. Normally it's through some kind of close personal relationship. There is however a small minority of people privileged and lucky enough to be part of a unique group of traders. And now you can too...This group of traders belong to the most respected, but also "THE" most profitable resource on earth for discovering extremely profitable ways to trade. Week after week, month after month, year after year this group of traders have been working to perfect their trading.
These Traders Have One Big Advantage
These traders all improved their trading by following the advice of other traders... no more and no less! This is how they did it:
Step 1 - They got access to some of the best trading systems that have ever been released.
Step 2 - They simply copied these systems.
Step 3 - They asked for advice and guidance from traders who were already using these systems.
Read this:
I'm in tears while writing this heart-felt thanks
for having such a wonderful site! Everything I had
imagined and dreamed of to come across so as to widen
my knowledge in Forex was a dream come true after I
became a member.
You are Great!! No one is better than you guys. Your
analytic work on your videos and trading systems are
second to none. I now believe I can fly! Thanks a
million!
Best Regards, Andy
Houston, Texas.
Rules for money management
As a currency trader, you should give utmost importance to proper money management in your trading. Most traders don't give much time to money management. They learn a few forex trading strategies and jump into live trading. After losing a good portion of their equity, they come back to money management. Don't do this.
Learn Trading Discipline
For you as a forex trader, the most important thing is to develop trading discipline in yourself. Discipline is the ability to plan your work and work your plan. You should give your trade the time to develop. You need not hastily take yourself out of the trade just because you are uncomfortable with the risk. Discipline is also the ability to continue to trade your system even after you have suffered a loss. All world class traders are highly disciplined in their trading.
Many traders become disappointed too soon when they don't achieve immediate success. Persistence is the most important quality a trader can possess. Those who quit too soon or apply their system haphazardly do not trade in the markets enough to allow their system to produce the wins they are looking for. To develop persistence, force yourself in the beginning to do everything to the rules of your trading system.
Follow Trading Rules
Learn to follow trading rules. The proper application of trades is one of the most important aspects of becoming a successful trader. It is also one of the most difficult to learn. The problem comes with the initial analysis of a market. When you study examples of past trades, it is much easier to recognize direction, entry, exits than if you are trading live. Recognizing opportunity in the now is much more difficult. Following trading rules and a trading system is no easy task. It requires discipline on the part of the trader to obey the rule that he/she is following even when the initial response or the opening trade does not work out. Trading rules are not perfect. They will fail you at times.
Learn To Accept Losses
You should learn to accept losses. Losses are going to happen in the course of trading. Since no trading system is 100% accurate. Even the flawless application of a trading system will create some losses. Develop the ability to admit your losses. Losses occur due to two reasons. The first is when the trader fails to follow the established and tested rules and guidelines of a trading system. The second is when the trading system fails to encompass unexpected changes in the market conditions.
Risk To Reward Ratio
You should always, always use stop losses in your trading. The idea behind the stop is to prevent a loss from running away too far. A stop is a market order placed a few pips away from the entry price in the event that price action turns and moves dramatically opposite from the anticipated direction. Many new traders think that a good entry into the markets for each trade is the key to success. Most are wrong, unfortunately. What is more important is trading with a good risk to reward ratio that has a high probability to making a profit. A risk to reward ratio compares the potential for reward with the potential for loss.
Risk is calculated by counting the pips between the forecasted entry price and the forecasted price at which you want to exit the market in case of a losing trade. A trader must view each trade as a business transaction. Reward is calculated by counting the number of pips between the forecasted entry price and the forecasted price at which you would want to exit the market in case of a winning trade. Reward is the expected number of pips that you want to make in a trade.
To manage risk properly, you need to look for high probability trades that have a risk to reward ratio of 1:2 or greater. This depends on the time frame that you want to trade. For example, if you are a day trader and you are looking for making only 30 pips in a trade, a stop loss of 15 pips is sufficient for the risk to reward ratio of 1:2. Suppose you are a swing trader or a position trader with a longer time frame. Your profit potential will be more on a longer time frame as compared to a shorter time frame. Suppose you are looking for 200 pips as your expected profit. For a risk to reward ratio of 1:2, you will need to set your stop loss at 100 pips.
The reason that you need to set a higher stop loss is that on a larger time frame, small trends occur within the larger trend. Retracements on shorter time frame is much smaller as compared on the larger time frame. Your trade is going to be recycled. In order to be not stopped out, you need to calculate your risk to reward ratio appropriately. Many traders agree that next to maximizing profits, the second most important thing for them is minimizing losses. A trading system that wins only 50% of the time on average can still be profitable. Most of the traders want to make money but dont know how to protect what they currently have.
You have 50% chance of the forex market going your way and 50% chance of going against you. It is just like flipping a coin. Suppose the trade does not develop in your favor and the market is going against you. You should cut your losses by using stop losses. In nutshell, you cut your losses and let your winners run. This simple 50/50 currency trading strategy earns a profit even when a novice trader might experience a loss. Consider different risk to reward ratios and how much you need to win to break even. For 2:1 risk to reward ratio, you need 67% winners just to break even. For a 1:1 risk to reward ratio, it means just 50% winners to break even. 1:2 ratio means only 33.5% winners. Never ever trade when the risk to reward ratio
Learn Trading Discipline
For you as a forex trader, the most important thing is to develop trading discipline in yourself. Discipline is the ability to plan your work and work your plan. You should give your trade the time to develop. You need not hastily take yourself out of the trade just because you are uncomfortable with the risk. Discipline is also the ability to continue to trade your system even after you have suffered a loss. All world class traders are highly disciplined in their trading.
Many traders become disappointed too soon when they don't achieve immediate success. Persistence is the most important quality a trader can possess. Those who quit too soon or apply their system haphazardly do not trade in the markets enough to allow their system to produce the wins they are looking for. To develop persistence, force yourself in the beginning to do everything to the rules of your trading system.
Follow Trading Rules
Learn to follow trading rules. The proper application of trades is one of the most important aspects of becoming a successful trader. It is also one of the most difficult to learn. The problem comes with the initial analysis of a market. When you study examples of past trades, it is much easier to recognize direction, entry, exits than if you are trading live. Recognizing opportunity in the now is much more difficult. Following trading rules and a trading system is no easy task. It requires discipline on the part of the trader to obey the rule that he/she is following even when the initial response or the opening trade does not work out. Trading rules are not perfect. They will fail you at times.
Learn To Accept Losses
You should learn to accept losses. Losses are going to happen in the course of trading. Since no trading system is 100% accurate. Even the flawless application of a trading system will create some losses. Develop the ability to admit your losses. Losses occur due to two reasons. The first is when the trader fails to follow the established and tested rules and guidelines of a trading system. The second is when the trading system fails to encompass unexpected changes in the market conditions.
Risk To Reward Ratio
You should always, always use stop losses in your trading. The idea behind the stop is to prevent a loss from running away too far. A stop is a market order placed a few pips away from the entry price in the event that price action turns and moves dramatically opposite from the anticipated direction. Many new traders think that a good entry into the markets for each trade is the key to success. Most are wrong, unfortunately. What is more important is trading with a good risk to reward ratio that has a high probability to making a profit. A risk to reward ratio compares the potential for reward with the potential for loss.
Risk is calculated by counting the pips between the forecasted entry price and the forecasted price at which you want to exit the market in case of a losing trade. A trader must view each trade as a business transaction. Reward is calculated by counting the number of pips between the forecasted entry price and the forecasted price at which you would want to exit the market in case of a winning trade. Reward is the expected number of pips that you want to make in a trade.
To manage risk properly, you need to look for high probability trades that have a risk to reward ratio of 1:2 or greater. This depends on the time frame that you want to trade. For example, if you are a day trader and you are looking for making only 30 pips in a trade, a stop loss of 15 pips is sufficient for the risk to reward ratio of 1:2. Suppose you are a swing trader or a position trader with a longer time frame. Your profit potential will be more on a longer time frame as compared to a shorter time frame. Suppose you are looking for 200 pips as your expected profit. For a risk to reward ratio of 1:2, you will need to set your stop loss at 100 pips.
The reason that you need to set a higher stop loss is that on a larger time frame, small trends occur within the larger trend. Retracements on shorter time frame is much smaller as compared on the larger time frame. Your trade is going to be recycled. In order to be not stopped out, you need to calculate your risk to reward ratio appropriately. Many traders agree that next to maximizing profits, the second most important thing for them is minimizing losses. A trading system that wins only 50% of the time on average can still be profitable. Most of the traders want to make money but dont know how to protect what they currently have.
You have 50% chance of the forex market going your way and 50% chance of going against you. It is just like flipping a coin. Suppose the trade does not develop in your favor and the market is going against you. You should cut your losses by using stop losses. In nutshell, you cut your losses and let your winners run. This simple 50/50 currency trading strategy earns a profit even when a novice trader might experience a loss. Consider different risk to reward ratios and how much you need to win to break even. For 2:1 risk to reward ratio, you need 67% winners just to break even. For a 1:1 risk to reward ratio, it means just 50% winners to break even. 1:2 ratio means only 33.5% winners. Never ever trade when the risk to reward ratio
Comparision of Forex and oil business
Wall Street analysts watch oil prices like hawks. During the early part of 2008, oil prices skyrocketed from near $75 to almost $140 within a few short months. This was more than a 100% increase in oil prices in a few months. All over the world, countries started feeling huge pressures on their balance of payment accounts. Many hedge fund managers heavily speculated on the increase in oil price. Some made a windfall, other lost when the oil prices suddenly collapsed.
Most of the increase in the oil prices was due to speculation. When the stock markets crashed, most of the hedge funds had to liquidate their investments in oil futures. The prices came down. The prices are down due to low consumer demand in a recession. But it is being predicted that with a recovery in the economy, the oil prices will go up again. As oil prices go up, consumers are forced to spend more on oil. The more they spend on oil, the less they can spend on other products. The less they spend on other products, the less profit companies make. Declining profits made by these companies mean declining stock prices.
The opposite case is also true; less the oil prices become, the more Wall Street becomes optimistic and exuberant about the profit potential of companies. This increased optimism and exuberance translates into a bullish stock market. Two large futures exchanges are used to determine the prices of crude oil. One is the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYME). The other is the International Petroleum Exchange (IPE). Historically, rising oil prices have been associated with falling stock markets. NYME is where most of the crude oil futures are traded.
By monitoring the movement of the crude oil futures in NYME, you can develop a feel of the future economic situation of the United States. Since oil is heavily traded in US Dollar, this affects the US Dollar. The net effect is however a bit complicated. Let's take a look at it more closely. When oil prices increase, the demand for US Dollar also increases as most of the countries need US Dollar to pay for their oil imports. Increased demand for US Dollar means that it should appreciate. But this is not the whole picture. Increased oil prices also affect the US economy. The question is which effect is more important for the currency markets.
The effect varies for different currency pairs. Suppose you are watching a currency pair that involves the USD and a currency representing a country that does well during the times of high oil prices. Take Canada that has huge oil reserves after Saudi Arabia. The effect would be depreciation in the value of USD/CAD pair. US imports more oil from Canada than any other country. And if you are watching a currency pair that involves USD and a currency whose economy is harmed by the rising oil prices, the demand for USD will rise.
So some currencies have positive correlation with oil prices and other currencies have negative correlation with rising oil prices. The currency pair CAD/JPY shows the strongest reaction to rising oil prices. Japan imports almost 100% oil. When oil prices are going to rise again, watch for CAD/JPY currency pair. CAD is positively correlated with oil prices and JPY is negatively correlated. So CAD/JPY has the strongest reaction to rise in oil prices. It can be a very good currency pair to trade during times of rising oil prices.
Following Oil Prices in Forex Trading
If you want to become a good investor in forex, then you need to learn that the currency markets evolve and change with time. As the forex markets evolve and change, your trading strategies should also evolve and adjust. You will need to make a little tweak here and a little tweak there sometimes in your trading strategies in order to continue making profit. There will be periods of low returns or losses. But once you have made the changes and adjusted your trading strategies, you will start making profits again. Dont get stuck with only one currency pair and one trading strategy. Start looking at macroeconomic events and how different currency pairs react to them.
Global economy runs on the supply of oil. You can say oil drives the global economy. High oil prices put pressures on the global economy. Inflation rises and fear of a recession starting mounts. Lets discuss a currency trading strategy. It depends on following oil prices in the global markets. Some countries export oil. There are many sources of oil. But most of the countries in the world import oil. So oil prices tend to affect almost all the currencies in the world. Some currency pairs react more strongly. Others currency pairs less so when oil prices change. When oil prices rise, they continue to rise for several months. Fortunately for you, oil prices tend to trend for months.
Similarly when oil prices decline, they tend to continue declining for several months. Some of the currencies that react strongly to oil price changes are GBP and CAD. Let's focus on USD/CAD. As United States imports more oil from Canada, the value of CAD should increase with increase in oil prices in relationship to USD. This means that the pair USD/CAD should start trending downward with the increase in oil prices. This is an example of a trend trade. Watch for times when the oil prices are rising and the exchange rate USD/CAD is decreasing. Similarly, watch for times when oil prices are declining and the exchange rate USD/CAD is increasing.
We will use CCI, Commodity Channel Index, to trigger the trade. Watch the 14 period CCI (Commodity Channel Index) chart. It should cross above 100 and then cross back below 100. This will tell you that the buyers made a temporary upward push on the currency pair USD/CAD but were unable to turn the trend around and it is still downward. This is time to open the trade. Enter the trade. Set a limit order of 300 pips and a stop loss order of 75 pips. Go short on USD and long on CAD. This setup gives you a risk to reward ratio of 1:4. This risk to reward is very good and it allows you to be wrong a few times but without ruining your chances of being profitable. 300 pips mean $3000 profit and 75 pips means $750 loss if the trade goes against what you anticipated. Usually such a trade will continue for a month.
You can also trade the USD/CAD currency pair in the opposite direction if the oil prices start to decline. However, prolonged downtrends in the oil prices are unlikely under rising global oil demand. This trading strategy depends on just knowing which way the oil prices are moving right now. You can take advantage of this oil price movement. Oil prices have again started to climb. It has reached above $68. Take advantage of the rising oil prices by trading USD/CAD pair as described above.
Most of the increase in the oil prices was due to speculation. When the stock markets crashed, most of the hedge funds had to liquidate their investments in oil futures. The prices came down. The prices are down due to low consumer demand in a recession. But it is being predicted that with a recovery in the economy, the oil prices will go up again. As oil prices go up, consumers are forced to spend more on oil. The more they spend on oil, the less they can spend on other products. The less they spend on other products, the less profit companies make. Declining profits made by these companies mean declining stock prices.
The opposite case is also true; less the oil prices become, the more Wall Street becomes optimistic and exuberant about the profit potential of companies. This increased optimism and exuberance translates into a bullish stock market. Two large futures exchanges are used to determine the prices of crude oil. One is the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYME). The other is the International Petroleum Exchange (IPE). Historically, rising oil prices have been associated with falling stock markets. NYME is where most of the crude oil futures are traded.
By monitoring the movement of the crude oil futures in NYME, you can develop a feel of the future economic situation of the United States. Since oil is heavily traded in US Dollar, this affects the US Dollar. The net effect is however a bit complicated. Let's take a look at it more closely. When oil prices increase, the demand for US Dollar also increases as most of the countries need US Dollar to pay for their oil imports. Increased demand for US Dollar means that it should appreciate. But this is not the whole picture. Increased oil prices also affect the US economy. The question is which effect is more important for the currency markets.
The effect varies for different currency pairs. Suppose you are watching a currency pair that involves the USD and a currency representing a country that does well during the times of high oil prices. Take Canada that has huge oil reserves after Saudi Arabia. The effect would be depreciation in the value of USD/CAD pair. US imports more oil from Canada than any other country. And if you are watching a currency pair that involves USD and a currency whose economy is harmed by the rising oil prices, the demand for USD will rise.
So some currencies have positive correlation with oil prices and other currencies have negative correlation with rising oil prices. The currency pair CAD/JPY shows the strongest reaction to rising oil prices. Japan imports almost 100% oil. When oil prices are going to rise again, watch for CAD/JPY currency pair. CAD is positively correlated with oil prices and JPY is negatively correlated. So CAD/JPY has the strongest reaction to rise in oil prices. It can be a very good currency pair to trade during times of rising oil prices.
Following Oil Prices in Forex Trading
If you want to become a good investor in forex, then you need to learn that the currency markets evolve and change with time. As the forex markets evolve and change, your trading strategies should also evolve and adjust. You will need to make a little tweak here and a little tweak there sometimes in your trading strategies in order to continue making profit. There will be periods of low returns or losses. But once you have made the changes and adjusted your trading strategies, you will start making profits again. Dont get stuck with only one currency pair and one trading strategy. Start looking at macroeconomic events and how different currency pairs react to them.
Global economy runs on the supply of oil. You can say oil drives the global economy. High oil prices put pressures on the global economy. Inflation rises and fear of a recession starting mounts. Lets discuss a currency trading strategy. It depends on following oil prices in the global markets. Some countries export oil. There are many sources of oil. But most of the countries in the world import oil. So oil prices tend to affect almost all the currencies in the world. Some currency pairs react more strongly. Others currency pairs less so when oil prices change. When oil prices rise, they continue to rise for several months. Fortunately for you, oil prices tend to trend for months.
Similarly when oil prices decline, they tend to continue declining for several months. Some of the currencies that react strongly to oil price changes are GBP and CAD. Let's focus on USD/CAD. As United States imports more oil from Canada, the value of CAD should increase with increase in oil prices in relationship to USD. This means that the pair USD/CAD should start trending downward with the increase in oil prices. This is an example of a trend trade. Watch for times when the oil prices are rising and the exchange rate USD/CAD is decreasing. Similarly, watch for times when oil prices are declining and the exchange rate USD/CAD is increasing.
We will use CCI, Commodity Channel Index, to trigger the trade. Watch the 14 period CCI (Commodity Channel Index) chart. It should cross above 100 and then cross back below 100. This will tell you that the buyers made a temporary upward push on the currency pair USD/CAD but were unable to turn the trend around and it is still downward. This is time to open the trade. Enter the trade. Set a limit order of 300 pips and a stop loss order of 75 pips. Go short on USD and long on CAD. This setup gives you a risk to reward ratio of 1:4. This risk to reward is very good and it allows you to be wrong a few times but without ruining your chances of being profitable. 300 pips mean $3000 profit and 75 pips means $750 loss if the trade goes against what you anticipated. Usually such a trade will continue for a month.
You can also trade the USD/CAD currency pair in the opposite direction if the oil prices start to decline. However, prolonged downtrends in the oil prices are unlikely under rising global oil demand. This trading strategy depends on just knowing which way the oil prices are moving right now. You can take advantage of this oil price movement. Oil prices have again started to climb. It has reached above $68. Take advantage of the rising oil prices by trading USD/CAD pair as described above.
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